Bubbly Recessions

A-Tier
Journal: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
Year: 2020
Volume: 12
Issue: 4
Pages: 33-70

Authors (3)

Siddhartha Biswas (not in RePEc) Andrew Hanson (not in RePEc) Toan Phan (Federal Reserve Bank of Richmo...)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We develop a tractable bubbles model with financial friction and downward wage rigidity. Competitive speculation in risky bubbles can result in excessive investment booms that precede inefficient busts, where post- bubble aggregate economic activities collapse below the pre-bubble trend. Risky bubbles can reduce ex ante social welfare, and leaning-against-the-bubble policies that balance the boom-bust trade-off can be warranted. We further show that the collapse of a bubble can push the economy into a "secular stagnation" equilibrium, where the zero lower bound and the nominal wage rigidity constraint bind, leading to a persistent recession, such as the Japanese "lost decades."

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aejmac:v:12:y:2020:i:4:p:33-70
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29