Do professional economists' forecasts reflect Okun's law? Some evidence for the G7 countries

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2011
Volume: 43
Issue: 11
Pages: 1365-1373

Authors (3)

Christian Pierdzioch (Helmut Schmidt Universität Ham...) Jan-Christoph Rulke (not in RePEc) Georg Stadtmann (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.335 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Using survey data for the G7 countries, we report that professional economists' forecasts of changes in the unemployment rate and the growth rate of real output are consistent with Okun's law. Professional economists do not believe in potential asymmetries in Okun's law over the business cycle. They believe in the classic linear version of Okun's law.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:11:p:1365-1373
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29