Sticky Spending, Sequestration, and Government Debt

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2024
Volume: 114
Issue: 11
Pages: 3513-50

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Once established, government spending programs tend to continue. A commonly held view is that spending inertia leads to unsustainable debt, ultimately requiring fiscal adjustments such as "sequestration." We show that by insuring against political turnover, inertia may reduce politicians' incentives to accumulate debt. However, large preexisting commitments and the prospect of future stabilization can lead to overspending to dilute past administrations' commitments. Finally, we show that political polarization amplifies incentives to prioritize inertial programs, potentially explaining the increased share of mandatory spending in the US budget.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:114:y:2024:i:11:p:3513-50
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29