Yield drifts when issuance comes before macro news

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial Economics
Year: 2025
Volume: 165
Issue: C

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

UK government bond yields tend to drift upwards before scheduled news such as monetary policy announcements and labour market data releases. This effect is particularly pronounced during periods of UK bond issuance and is linked to higher term premia. Financial intermediary constraints play a role as dealers avoid accumulating inventory in pre-news windows following issuance. The composition of liquidity providers also shifts: hedge funds buy a large share of the bond issuance outside pre-news windows, but more passive investors – such as foreign central banks and pension funds – provide liquidity in pre-news windows. We outline a simple model to rationalize these findings.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jfinec:v:165:y:2025:i:c:s0304405x25000017
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-29