House Prices and Job Losses

A-Tier
Journal: Economic Journal
Year: 2019
Volume: 129
Issue: 618
Pages: 991-1013

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This article studies the strong co-movement between house prices and job losses over the UK business cycle. An aggregate SVAR and a regional proxy SVAR model are used to provide empirical evidence on the effect of house prices on labour markets. To explain the mechanism, a general equilibrium model with collateral constraints, endogenous job separation and housing shocks is estimated via Bayesian methods. I find that shocks to housing demand: (i) explain about 10–20% of output fluctuations and 20–30% of labour market fluctuations via the collateral channel; and (ii) were a major cause in triggering the 1990 and 2008 recessions.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:econjl:v:129:y:2019:i:618:p:991-1013.
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-29