International tail risk and World Fear

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of International Money and Finance
Year: 2019
Volume: 93
Issue: C
Pages: 244-259

Authors (4)

Hollstein, Fabian (not in RePEc) Nguyen, Duc Binh Benno (not in RePEc) Prokopczuk, Marcel (Leibniz Universität Hannover) Wese Simen, Chardin (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We examine the pricing of tail risk in international stock markets. Studying all MSCI Developed and Emerging Markets countries, we find that the tail risk of these countries is highly integrated. We find that both local and our newly computed global tail risk strongly predict global equity index excess returns. These results hold both in-sample and out-of-sample. Sorting countries into portfolios by their tail risk generates sizable excess returns across various holding periods. Finally, we find that global tail risk is linked to international economic activity.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jimfin:v:93:y:2019:i:c:p:244-259
Journal Field
International
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-29