Fiscal Foundations of Inflation: Imperfect Knowledge

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2018
Volume: 108
Issue: 9
Pages: 2551-89

Authors (2)

Stefano Eusepi (not in RePEc) Bruce Preston (UNSW Sydney)

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper proposes a theory of the fiscal foundations of inflation based on imperfect knowledge and learning. Because imperfect knowledge breaks Ricardian equivalence, the scale and composition of the public debt matter for inflation. High and moderate duration debt generates wealth effects on consumption demand that impairs the intertemporal substitution channel of monetary policy: aggressive monetary policy is required to anchor inflation expectations. Counterfactual experiments conducted in an estimated model reveal that the US economy would have been substantially more volatile over the Great Inflation and Great Moderation periods if US debt levels had been those observed in Italy or Japan.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:108:y:2018:i:9:p:2551-89
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29