Maximum Likelihood Estimation in Markov Regime‐Switching Models With Covariate‐Dependent Transition Probabilities

S-Tier
Journal: Econometrica
Year: 2022
Volume: 90
Issue: 4
Pages: 1681-1710

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions, which allow for autoregressive dynamics in the observable process, Markov regime sequences with covariate‐dependent transition matrices, and possible model misspecification. A Monte Carlo study examines the finite‐sample properties of the ML estimator in correctly specified and misspecified models. An empirical application is also discussed.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:emetrp:v:90:y:2022:i:4:p:1681-1710
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29