A long-run approach to money, unemployment, and equity prices

C-Tier
Journal: Economic Modeling
Year: 2023
Volume: 125
Issue: C

Authors (2)

Jung, Kuk Mo (not in RePEc) Pyun, Ju Hyun (Korea University)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We propose a search and matching model that can account for a long-run joint relationship between inflation, unemployment, and equity prices. The model predicts the following long-run joint relationship: (i) a positive relationship between inflation and unemployment; (ii) a negative relationship between unemployment and equity prices; and (iii) a negative relationship between inflation and equity prices. Empirical evidence for this trivariate relationship in the post-WWII US data has been documented in previous studies. We reconfirm this evidence with expanded dataset. Furthermore, our calibration exercises show that the model results driven solely by US monetary policy can account for 62.9% and 29.8% of variations of the long-term trends of US unemployment rate and real equity prices, respectively.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecmode:v:125:y:2023:i:c:s0264999323001499
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29