Score contribution per author:
α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count
We investigate the spillover of macroeconomic uncertainty between the U.S. and China since 2002. Following Jurado et al. (2015), we construct a monthly aggregate macroeconomic uncertainty index for China from 224 economic variables. The structural vector autoregression model suggests a unidirectional spillover of macroeconomic uncertainty from the U.S. to China. Both U.S. and Chinese uncertainty have negative effects on China’s real economy, but the impact of U.S. uncertainty is greater.