Conditional Equity Premium and Aggregate Corporate Investment

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
Year: 2023
Volume: 55
Issue: 1
Pages: 251-295

Authors (2)

HUI GUO (not in RePEc) BUHUI QIU (University of Sydney)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We document a strong negative relation between aggregate corporate investment and conditional equity premium estimated from direct stock market risk measures. Consistent with the investment‐based asset pricing model, the comovement with conditional equity premium fully accounts for aggregate investment's market return predictive power. Similarly, conditional equity premium is a significant determinant of classic Tobin's q measure, although q has much weaker explanatory power for aggregate investment possibly because of its measurement errors. Moreover, the positive relation between aggregate investment and investor sentiment documented in previous studies reflects the fact that both variables correlate closely with conditional equity premium.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:jmoncb:v:55:y:2023:i:1:p:251-295
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29