Net exports, consumption volatility and international business cycle models

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of International Economics
Year: 2008
Volume: 75
Issue: 1
Pages: 14-29

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Conventional two-country RBC models interpret countercyclical net exports as reflecting primarily the dynamics of capital. I show that, quantitatively, theoretical economies rely on counterfactual terms of trade effects: trade fluctuations, on the contrary, are driven by consumption smoothing, thus generating procyclical net trade in goods. I then consider a class of preferences that embeds home production in a reduced form: consumption volatility increases so that countercyclical net exports reflect primarily a strong relation between consumption and imports, as in the data. The major discrepancy between theory and data concerns the variability of international prices.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:inecon:v:75:y:2008:i:1:p:14-29
Journal Field
International
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-29