The Rise in Inequality, the Decline in the Natural Interest Rate, and the Increase in Household Debt

B-Tier
Journal: International Journal of Central Banking
Year: 2023
Volume: 19
Issue: 2
Pages: 1-93

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

I investigate the effect of rising income inequality on the natural rate of interest in an economy with “rich” households who have “capitalist spirit” type preferences over their wealth, “non-rich” households, and housing and credit markets. Simulating the increase in U.S. income inequality over the 1981–2016 period generates a downward trend in the natural rate in line with recent empirical estimates. The model also broadly captures the upward trend in the debt-to-income ratio and loan-to-value ratio of the bottom 90 percent of households, as well as the upward trend in the value of the housing stock during this period.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ijc:ijcjou:y:2023:q:2:a:1
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-29