Labor Hiring, Investment, and Stock Return Predictability in the Cross Section

S-Tier
Journal: Journal of Political Economy
Year: 2014
Volume: 122
Issue: 1
Pages: 129 - 177

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We study the impact of labor market frictions on asset prices. In the cross section of US firms, a 10 percentage point increase in the firm's hiring rate is associated with a 1.5 percentage point decrease in the firm's annual risk premium. We propose an investment-based model with stochastic labor adjustment costs to explain this finding. Firms with high hiring rates are expanding firms that incur high adjustment costs. If the economy experiences a shock that lowers adjustment costs, these firms benefit the most. The corresponding increase in firm value operates as a hedge against these shocks, explaining the lower risk premium of these firms in equilibrium.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ucp:jpolec:doi:10.1086/674549
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24