Currency returns and FX dealer balance sheets

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of International Economics
Year: 2021
Volume: 133
Issue: C

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We show that excess returns to the carry trade can be interpreted as compensation for foreign exchange dealers’ capital risk. Given that the top market makers in foreign exchange are at the heart of the market's information aggregation process we also suggest that it is their marginal value of wealth which prices FX portfolio returns. Consistent with this hypothesis the empirical results show that shocks to the equity capital ratios of the top three foreign exchange dealers have explanatory power for the cross-sectional variation in expected currency returns, while those of the average dealer provide no substantial additional information.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:inecon:v:133:y:2021:i:c:s0022199621001215
Journal Field
International
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29