A wavelet decomposition approach to crude oil price and exchange rate dependence

C-Tier
Journal: Economic Modeling
Year: 2013
Volume: 32
Issue: C
Pages: 42-57

Authors (2)

Reboredo, Juan C. (Universidade de Santiago de Co...) Rivera-Castro, Miguel A. (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper studies the relationship between oil prices and US dollar exchange rates using wavelet multi-resolution analysis. We characterized the oil price–exchange rate relationship for different timescales in an attempt to disentangle the possible existence of contagion and interdependence during the global financial crisis and analyze possible lead and lag effects. For crude oil prices and a range of currencies, we show that oil prices and exchange rates were not dependent in the pre-crisis period; however, we did find evidence of contagion and negative dependence after the onset of the crisis. Additionally, we found that oil prices led exchange rates and vice versa in the crisis period but not in the pre-crisis period. These findings have important implications for risk management, monetary policies to control oil inflationary pressures and fiscal policy in oil-exporting countries.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecmode:v:32:y:2013:i:c:p:42-57
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29