Is gold a safe haven or a hedge for the US dollar? Implications for risk management

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Banking & Finance
Year: 2013
Volume: 37
Issue: 8
Pages: 2665-2676

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We assess the role of gold as a safe haven or hedge against the US dollar (USD) using copulas to characterize average and extreme market dependence between gold and the USD. For a wide set of currencies, our empirical evidence revealed (1) positive and significant average dependence between gold and USD depreciation, consistent with the fact that gold can act as hedge against USD rate movements, and (2) symmetric tail dependence between gold and USD exchange rates, indicating that gold can act as an effective safe haven against extreme USD rate movements. We evaluate the implications for mixed gold-currency portfolios, finding evidence of diversification benefits and downside risk reduction that confirms the usefulness of gold in currency portfolio risk management.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jbfina:v:37:y:2013:i:8:p:2665-2676
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-29