Factoring in the Micro: A Transaction‐Level Dynamic Factor Approach to the Decomposition of Export Volatility

B-Tier
Journal: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2025
Volume: 87
Issue: 1
Pages: 155-184

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper analyzes the export volatility sources estimating a dynamic factor model on transaction‐level data. Utilizing an exhaustive dataset of French export transactions from 1993 to 2017, we reconstruct the latent factors space associated with global and destination‐specific macroeconomic shocks through a Quasi‐Maximum likelihood approach which allows accommodating both the high share of missing values and the high dimensionality of the microeconomic time series. The estimated parameters are then used to derive a volatility decomposition of the aggregate and firm‐level export growth rates, highlighting structural spatial patterns and the role of geographical diversification in mitigating export risks.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:obuest:v:87:y:2025:i:1:p:155-184
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-24