Time-varying general dynamic factor models and the measurement of financial connectedness

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Econometrics
Year: 2021
Volume: 222
Issue: 1
Pages: 324-343

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We propose a new time-varying Generalized Dynamic Factor Model for high-dimensional, locally stationary time series. Estimation is based on dynamic principal component analysis jointly with singular VAR estimation, and extends to the locally stationary case the one-sided estimation method proposed by Forni et al. (2017) for stationary data. We prove consistency of our estimators of time-varying impulse response functions as both the sample size T and the dimension n of the time series grow to infinity. This approach is used in an empirical application in order to construct a time-varying measure of financial connectedness for a large panel of adjusted intra-day log ranges of stocks. We show that large increases in long-run connectedness are associated with the main financial turmoils. Moreover, we provide evidence of a significant heterogeneity in the dynamic responses to common shocks in time and over different scales, as well as across industrial sectors.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:econom:v:222:y:2021:i:1:p:324-343
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-24