Inferential theory for generalized dynamic factor models

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Econometrics
Year: 2024
Volume: 239
Issue: 2

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We provide the asymptotic distributional theory for the so-called General or Generalized Dynamic Factor Model (GDFM), laying the foundations for an inferential approach in the GDFM analysis of high-dimensional time series. By exploiting the duality between common shocks and dynamic loadings, we derive the asymptotic distribution and associated standard errors for a class of estimators for common shocks, dynamic loadings, common components, and impulse response functions. We present an empirical application aimed at constructing a “core” inflation indicator for the U.S. economy, which demonstrates the superiority of the GDFM-based indicator over the most common approaches, particularly the one based on Principal Components.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:econom:v:239:y:2024:i:2:s0304407623000593
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-24