NETS: Network estimation for time series

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Applied Econometrics
Year: 2019
Volume: 34
Issue: 3
Pages: 347-364

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We model a large panel of time series as a vector autoregression where the autoregressive matrices and the inverse covariance matrix of the system innovations are assumed to be sparse. The system has a network representation in terms of a directed graph representing predictive Granger relations and an undirected graph representing contemporaneous partial correlations. A LASSO algorithm called NETS is introduced to estimate the model. We apply the methodology to analyze a panel of volatility measures of 90 blue chips. The model captures an important fraction of total variability, on top of what is explained by volatility factors, and improves out‐of‐sample forecasting.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:japmet:v:34:y:2019:i:3:p:347-364
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24