A unified measure of Fed monetary policy shocks

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year: 2021
Volume: 118
Issue: C
Pages: 331-349

Authors (3)

Bu, Chunya (not in RePEc) Rogers, John (Fudan University) Wu, Wenbin (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We develop a U.S. monetary policy shock series that stably bridges periods of conventional and unconventional policymaking, is largely unpredictable, and contains no significant central bank information effect. We attribute differences between our measure and often-used alternatives to our econometric procedure, a partial least squares approach, and our using the full maturity spectrum of interest rates in estimating the shock. We find that shocks to our monetary policy series have particularly large effects on maturities in the middle of the term structure and produce conventionally-signed impulse responses of output and inflation.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:moneco:v:118:y:2021:i:c:p:331-349
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29