Sovereign debt and systemic risk in the eurozone

C-Tier
Journal: Economic Modeling
Year: 2017
Volume: 67
Issue: C
Pages: 275-284

Authors (2)

Popescu, Alexandra (not in RePEc) Turcu, Camelia (Université d'Orléans)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The paper analyzes the eurozone crisis through the lens of a new systemic sovereign risk measure. This measure is built on countries' budgetary constraint and the Marginal Expected Shortfall (MES) estimated through a DCC-Garch model. We use daily data on government bonds yields 10Y and quarterly macroeconomic data over the period 2001−2013. Our measure, applied to the sovereign debt crisis of the euro area, captures countries' expected financing requirements in times of crisis. The results underline the most systemically important countries and their contribution to a potential system's default. Specifically, Italy and Greece are highlighted as the most systemically important countries in crisis times.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecmode:v:67:y:2017:i:c:p:275-284
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29