Political Attitudes and Inflation Expectations: Evidence and Implications

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
Year: 2021
Volume: 53
Issue: 4
Pages: 605-634

Authors (3)

CHRISTIAN GILLITZER (not in RePEc) NALINI PRASAD (not in RePEc) TIM ROBINSON (University of Melbourne)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We show that for the United States and Australia consumers expect significantly lower inflation when the political party they support holds executive office. This finding cannot be explained by previously documented sources of heterogeneity in consumer inflation expectations. It is consistent with stereotypical thinking (Bordalo et al. 2016), pointing to the use of heuristics in the formation of macro‐economic beliefs. Our findings have implications for consumers' understanding of central bank independence and its connection with inflation stabilization.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:jmoncb:v:53:y:2021:i:4:p:605-634
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29