JUE insight: Are city centers losing their appeal? Commercial real estate, urban spatial structure, and COVID-19

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Urban Economics
Year: 2022
Volume: 127
Issue: C

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper estimates the value firms place on access to city centers and how this has changed with COVID-19. Pre-COVID, across 89 U.S. urban areas, commercial rent on newly executed long-term leases declines 2.3% per mile from the city center and increases 8.4% with a doubling of zipcode employment density. These relationships are stronger for large, dense “transit cities” that rely heavily on subway and light rail. Post-COVID, the commercial rent gradient falls by roughly 15% in transit cities, and the premium for proximity to transit stops also falls. We do not see a corresponding decline in the commercial rent gradient in more car-oriented cities, but for all cities the rent premium associated with employment density declines sharply following the COVID-19 shock.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:juecon:v:127:y:2022:i:c:s0094119021000632
Journal Field
Urban
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29