A general equilibrium approach to carbon permit banking

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Environmental Economics and Management
Year: 2025
Volume: 129
Issue: C

Authors (3)

Dubois, Loick (not in RePEc) Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume (Banque de France) Vermandel, Gauthier (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We study the general equilibrium effects of carbon permit banking during the transition to a climate-neutral economy by 2050. To this end, we develop an environmental dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model, in which the business sector is regulated by a generic emission trading system (ETS). Firms are authorized to transfer unused permits from one period to the next (banking), but the reverse direction (borrowing) is prohibited. Allowing for positive banking gives firms the opportunity to smooth their permit demand along the business cycle. Applications inspired by recent European Union-ETS regulations underscore the critical role of permit banking in shaping policy outcomes. For example, the 2023 cap reform would result in a more significant reduction in both permit banking and carbon emissions, as well as a 40% to 50% increase in the carbon price compared to pre-reform projections, without substantial additional GDP loss by 2060. Importantly, forgetting about permit banking when assessing cap policies would lead to both a significant underestimation of the total macroeconomic effects and an inaccurate representation of the carbon emission trajectory.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jeeman:v:129:y:2025:i:c:s0095069624001505
Journal Field
Environment
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29