Electricity pricing using a periodic GARCH model with conditional skewness and kurtosis components

A-Tier
Journal: Energy Economics
Year: 2021
Volume: 95
Issue: C

Authors (4)

Ioannidis, Filippos (not in RePEc) Kosmidou, Kyriaki (not in RePEc) Savva, Christos (Cyprus University of Technolog...) Theodossiou, Panayiotis (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper extends the investigation of the stochastic properties of electricity price growth rates beyond their first two conditional moments allowing for the impact of seasonality on their parameters. The main contributions include the breakdown of electricity price risk into its pure and skewness price components and the development of a risk neutral forecasting equation for electricity prices. Empirical results using ten-years of hourly wholesale prices from the Day-Ahead electricity market in Germany depict the presence of seasonality, strong mean reversion and up-to third degree time-varying moments.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:eneeco:v:95:y:2021:i:c:s0140988321000153
Journal Field
Energy
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-29