Current account dynamics, real exchange rate adjustment, and the exchange rate regime in emerging-market economies

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Development Economics
Year: 2016
Volume: 119
Issue: C
Pages: 86-99

Authors (3)

Gervais, Olivier (not in RePEc) Schembri, Lawrence (Bank of Canada) Suchanek, Lena (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In emerging-market economies, real exchange rate adjustment is critical for achieving a sustainable current account position and thereby for helping to maintain macroeconomic and financial stability. This study examines two related hypotheses: (i) that real exchange rate adjustment promotes the rebalancing of the current account and (ii) that a flexible nominal exchange rate facilitates real exchange rate adjustment and thus the rebalancing of the current account. Evidence from an event-study analysis for a large set of emerging-market economies over the period 1975–2008 indicates that real exchange rate adjustment has contributed significantly to reducing current account imbalances. The adjustment of current account deficits in countries with a fixed exchange rate regime typically occurs through an exchange rate crisis, and substantial costs in terms of forgone output are incurred. Vector-error-correction analysis supports the findings of the event study; namely, in the long run, real exchange rate movements facilitate current account adjustment.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:deveco:v:119:y:2016:i:c:p:86-99
Journal Field
Development
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29