Expectations-Driven Liquidity Traps: Implications for Monetary and Fiscal Policy

A-Tier
Journal: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
Year: 2022
Volume: 14
Issue: 4
Pages: 68-103

Authors (2)

Taisuke Nakata (not in RePEc) Sebastian Schmidt (European Central Bank)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We study optimal time-consistent monetary and fiscal policy in a New Keynesian model where occasional declines in agents' confidence give rise to persistent liquidity trap episodes. Insights from widely studied fundamental-driven liquidity traps are not a useful guide for enhancing welfare in this model. Raising the inflation target, appointing an inflation-conservative central banker, or allowing for the use of government spending as an additional stabilization tool can exacerbate deflationary pressures and demand deficiencies during the liquidity trap episodes. However, appointing a policy-maker who is sufficiently less concerned with government spending stabilization than society eliminates expectations-driven liquidity traps.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aejmac:v:14:y:2022:i:4:p:68-103
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29