Unlucky Cohorts: Estimating the Long-Term Effects of Entering the Labor Market in a Recession in Large Cross-Sectional Data Sets

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Labor Economics
Year: 2019
Volume: 37
Issue: S1
Pages: S161 - S198

Authors (2)

Hannes Schwandt (Northwestern University) Till von Wachter (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper studies the differential persistent effects of initial economic conditions for labor market entrants in the United States from 1976 to 2015 by education, gender, and race using labor force survey data. We find persistent earnings and wage reductions, especially for less advantaged entrants, that increases in government support only partly offset. We confirm that the results are unaffected by selective migration and labor market entry by also using a double-weighted average unemployment rate at labor market entry for each birth cohort and state-of-birth cell based on average state migration rates and average cohort education rates from census data.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ucp:jlabec:doi:10.1086/701046
Journal Field
Labor
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29