Political Risk, Populism and the Economy

A-Tier
Journal: Economic Journal
Year: 2023
Volume: 133
Issue: 653
Pages: 1677-1704

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We study the financial and real effects of political risk shocks for Italy, Spain, Ireland, Portugal and Greece between 2008 and 2019. We build an instrument for these shocks using the changes of the sovereign yield spread around political and policy dates, and estimate their effects in the context of local projection. We show that adverse political risk shocks have negative effects on domestic financial markets and in some countries generate spillovers on the spreads of other eurozone economies. Moreover, in Italy populism-related political risk shocks have a larger effect on financial markets and they harm the real economy.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:econjl:v:133:y:2023:i:653:p:1677-1704.
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-24