Editor's Choice Loan Originations and Defaults in the Mortgage Crisis: The Role of the Middle Class

A-Tier
Journal: The Review of Financial Studies
Year: 2016
Volume: 29
Issue: 7
Pages: 1635-1670

Authors (3)

Manuel Adelino (not in RePEc) Antoinette Schoar (not in RePEc) Felipe Severino (Dartmouth College)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper highlights the importance of middle-class and high-FICO borrowers for the mortgage crisis. Contrary to popular belief, which focuses on subprime and poor borrowers, we show that mortgage originations increased for borrowers across all income levels and FICO scores. The relation between mortgage growth and income growth at the individual level remained positive throughout the pre-2007 period. Finally, middle-income, high-income, and prime borrowers all sharply increased their share of delinquencies in the crisis. These results are consistent with a demand-side view, where homebuyers and lenders bought into increasing house values and borrowers defaulted after prices dropped. Received July 30, 2015; accepted January 27, 2016 by Editor Philip Strahan.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:rfinst:v:29:y:2016:i:7:p:1635-1670.
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29