Earnings, retained earnings, and book-to-market in the cross section of expected returns

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial Economics
Year: 2020
Volume: 135
Issue: 1
Pages: 231-254

Authors (4)

Ball, Ray (University of Chicago) Gerakos, Joseph (not in RePEc) Linnainmaa, Juhani T. (not in RePEc) Nikolaev, Valeri (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Book value of equity consists of two economically different components: retained earnings and contributed capital. We predict that book-to-market strategies work because the retained earnings component of the book value of equity includes the accumulation and, hence, the averaging of past earnings. Retained earnings-to-market predicts the cross section of average returns in U.S. and international data and subsumes book-to-market. Contributed capital-to-market has no predictive power. We show that retained earnings-to-market, and, by extension, book-to-market, predicts returns because it is a good proxy for underlying earnings yield (Ball, 1978; Berk, 1995) and not because book value represents intrinsic value.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jfinec:v:135:y:2020:i:1:p:231-254
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-24