Estimation and inference of change points in high-dimensional factor models

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Econometrics
Year: 2020
Volume: 219
Issue: 1
Pages: 66-100

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In this paper, we consider the estimation of break points in high-dimensional factor models where the unobserved factors are estimated by principal component analysis (PCA). The factor loading matrix is assumed to have a structural break at an unknown time. We establish the conditions under which the least squares (LS) estimator is consistent for the break date. Our consistency result holds for both large and small breaks. We also find the LS estimator’s asymptotic distribution. Simulation results confirm that the break date can be accurately estimated by the LS even if the magnitudes of breaks are small. In two empirical applications, we implement the method to estimate break points in the U.S. stock market and U.S. macroeconomy, respectively.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:econom:v:219:y:2020:i:1:p:66-100
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24