Consistent Evidence on Duration Dependence of Price Changes

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2025
Volume: 115
Issue: 10
Pages: 3322-66

Authors (3)

Fernando Alvarez (not in RePEc) Katarína Borovičková (not in RePEc) Robert Shimer (National Bureau of Economic Re...)

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We develop a linear GMM estimator of the discrete-time mixed proportional hazard (MPH) model of duration with an arbitrary distribution of unobserved heterogeneity. We allow for competing risks, observable characteristics, and censoring. We prove our estimator is consistent and apply it to the duration of price spells. We find substantial unobserved heterogeneity with economically meaningful implications for the response of output to a monetary policy shock in a model with time-dependent pricing rules and for the degree of state dependence in a model of price plans.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:115:y:2025:i:10:p:3322-66
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29