The “greatest” carry trade ever? Understanding eurozone bank risks

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial Economics
Year: 2015
Volume: 115
Issue: 2
Pages: 215-236

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We show that eurozone bank risks during 2007–2013 can be understood as carry trade behavior. Bank equity returns load positively on peripheral (Greece, Italy, Ireland, Portugal, Spain, or GIIPS) bond returns and negatively on German government bond returns, which generated carry until the deteriorating GIIPS bond returns adversely affected bank balance sheets. We find support for risk-shifting and regulatory arbitrage motives at banks in that carry trade behavior is stronger for large banks and banks with low capital ratios and high risk-weighted assets. We also find evidence for home bias and moral suasion in the subsample of GIIPS banks.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jfinec:v:115:y:2015:i:2:p:215-236
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24