Testing for a break in the persistence in yield spreads of EMU government bonds

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Banking & Finance
Year: 2014
Volume: 41
Issue: C
Pages: 109-118

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This study tests for a break in the persistence of EMU government bond yield spreads examining data from France, Italy and Spain and using German interest rates as a kind of benchmark. The results reported here provide evidence for breaks between 2006 and 2008. The persistence of the yield spreads against German government bonds has increased significantly after this period. This could be a sign of higher sovereign credit risk (and possibly even redenomination risk) caused by the debt crisis in the euro area. We find clear indications for non-stationary behavior after the breakpoints and empirical evidence for positive excess kurtosis and GARCH-effects when persistence increases.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jbfina:v:41:y:2014:i:c:p:109-118
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29