Productivity and unemployment over the business cycle

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year: 2010
Volume: 57
Issue: 8
Pages: 1013-1025

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The low correlation between cyclical unemployment and productivity over the post-war period hides a large sign switch in the mid-1980s: from significantly negative the correlation became significantly positive. Using a search model of unemployment with nominal rigidities and variable labor effort, I show that technology shocks can generate a positive unemployment-productivity correlation whereas non-technology shocks (i.e. aggregate demand shocks) tend to do the opposite. In this context, I identify two events that can quantitatively explain the increase in the correlation: (i) a sharp drop in the volatility of non-technology shocks in the mid-1980s, and (ii) a decline in the response of productivity to non-technology shocks, which from procyclical became acyclical in the last 25 years.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:moneco:v:57:y:2010:i:8:p:1013-1025
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-24