The Value of Waiting to Invest

S-Tier
Journal: Quarterly Journal of Economics
Year: 1986
Volume: 101
Issue: 4
Pages: 707-727

Authors (2)

Robert McDonald (not in RePEc) Daniel Siegel (Arizona State University)

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper studies the optimal timing of investment in an irreversible project where the benefits from the project and the investment cost follow continuous-time stochastic processes. The optimal investment rule and an explicit formula for the value of the option to invest are derived, assuming that the option is valued by risk-averse investors who are well diversified. The same analysis is applied to the scrapping decision. Simulations show that this option value can be significant, and that for reasonable parameter values it is optimal to wait until benefits are twice the investment costs.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:qjecon:v:101:y:1986:i:4:p:707-727.
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29