Pension fund flows, exchange rates, and covered interest rate parity

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial Economics
Year: 2025
Volume: 170
Issue: C

Authors (4)

Aldunate, Felipe (not in RePEc) Da, Zhi (not in RePEc) Larrain, Borja (not in RePEc) Sialm, Clemens (University of Texas-Austin)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Frequent, yet uninformed, market timing recommendations by a financial advisory firm generate significant flows for Chilean pension funds. These flows induce substantial changes in the Chilean foreign exchange rate due to the funds’ high allocation to international securities. Local banks provide liquidity to pension funds in the spot market and their hedging transactions propagate the demand fluctuations from the spot to the forward market, resulting in deviations from covered interest rate parity. Using bank balance sheet data, we confirm that banks’ risk bearing constraints create limits to arbitrage.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jfinec:v:170:y:2025:i:c:s0304405x25000832
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-29