The Economics of Counterfeiting

S-Tier
Journal: Econometrica
Year: 2015
Volume: 83
Issue: 3
Pages: 1211-1236

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We develop a strategic theory of counterfeiting as a multi‐market large game. Bad guys choose whether to counterfeit, and what quality to produce. Opposing them is a continuum of good guys who select a costly verification effort. In equilibrium, counterfeiters produce better quality at higher notes, but verifiers try sufficiently harder that verification still improves. We develop a graphical framework for deducing comparative statics. Passed and counterfeiting rates vanish for low and high notes. Our predictions are consistent with time series and cross‐sectional patterns in a unique data set assembled largely from the Secret Service.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:emetrp:v:83:y:2015:i:3:p:1211-1236
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29