Interwar Inflation, Unexpected Inflation, and Output Growth

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
Year: 2015
Volume: 47
Issue: 8
Pages: 1599-1615

Authors (2)

BILL DORVAL (not in RePEc) GREGOR W. SMITH (Queen's University)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Interwar macroeconomic history is a natural place to look for evidence on the correlation between output growth and inflation or unexpected inflation. We apply time‐series methods to measure unexpected inflation for more than 20 countries using both retail and wholesale prices. There is a significant, positive correlation between output growth and inflation for the entire period. There is little evidence that this correlation is caused by an underlying role for unexpected inflation. For wholesale price inflation in particular, the output declines associated with deflations were larger than the output increases associated with inflations of the same scale.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:jmoncb:v:47:y:2015:i:8:p:1599-1615
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29