Can VCs Time the Market? An Analysis of Exit Choice for Venture-backed Firms

A-Tier
Journal: The Review of Financial Studies
Year: 2011
Volume: 24
Issue: 9
Pages: 3105-3138

Authors (3)

Eric Ball (not in RePEc) Hsin Hui Chiu (not in RePEc) Richard Smith (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We use a sample of 8,163 venture-backed companies over three decades to test the competing hypotheses that levels and relative shares of IPO (initial public offering) and M&A (mergers and acquisitions) exits are affected by market timing, versus pseudo-market timing that reflects market conditions. We find evidence of pseudo-market timing. Venture-backed issuers react to market or sector runups but do not predict downturns. We find no evidence that firm-specific market timing contributes to IPO or M&A waves. We also find that acquirers turn to acquisition when other opportunities are unattractive, and that the market may be slow to recognize that such opportunities are declining. The Author 2011. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: [email protected]., Oxford University Press.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:rfinst:v:24:y:2011:i:9:p:3105-3138
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29