Does it matter how central banks accumulate reserves? Evidence from sovereign spreads

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of International Economics
Year: 2023
Volume: 140
Issue: C

Authors (2)

Sosa-Padilla, César (University of Notre Dame) Sturzenegger, Federico (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

There has been substantial research on the benefits of accumulating foreign reserves, but less on the relative merits of how these reserves are accumulated. In this paper we explore whether the form of accumulation affects country risk. We first present a model of endogenous sovereign debt defaults, where we show that reserve accumulation through the issuance of debt contingent on local output reduces spreads in a way that reserve accumulation with foreign borrowing does not. We confirm this model prediction when taking the theory to the data. These results suggest that attention should be placed on the way reserves are accumulated, a distinction that has important practical implications. In particular, our results call into question the benefits of programs of reserves strengthening through external debt such as those typically implemented by multilateral organizations.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:inecon:v:140:y:2023:i:c:s002219962200143x
Journal Field
International
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29