Demographics and the evolution of global imbalances

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year: 2022
Volume: 126
Issue: C
Pages: 1-14

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The age distribution influences capital flows through aggregate saving and labor supply. To quantify this, I build a dynamic model featuring overlapping generations and international trade among 28 countries since 1970. The equilibrium is replicated by a model with a representative household in each country that experiences an endogenous discount factor, which summarizes the co-evolution of demographics and relevant prices, affording computation of the exact transition. On average, a one-year increase a countrys mean age boosts its current account by 0.4 percent of GDP. Bilateral trade frictions dictate the cross-country response of capital flows to changes in a countrys demographics.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:moneco:v:126:y:2022:i:c:p:1-14
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-29