Placebo Reforms

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2013
Volume: 103
Issue: 4
Pages: 1490-1506

Score contribution per author:

8.043 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

I study a dynamic model of strategic reform decisions that potentially affect the stochastic evolution of a publicly observed economic variable. Policy makers maximize their evaluation by a boundedly rational public. Specifically, the public follows a rule that attributes recent changes to the most recent intervention. I analyze subgame perfect equilibrium in this model when the economic variable follows a linear growth trend with noise. Equilibrium is essentially unique and stationary, bearing a subtle formal relation to optimal search models. Policy makers tend to act during crises, display risk aversion conditional on acting, and prefer interventions that induce permanent noise.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:103:y:2013:i:4:p:1490-1506
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-29