From secular stagnation to robocalypse? Implications of demographic and technological changes

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year: 2021
Volume: 117
Issue: C
Pages: 833-847

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Demographic change and automation are two major structural trends that will shape the macroeconomy in the coming decades. We present a general equilibrium model with a tractable lifecycle structure that enables investigation of the main transmission mechanisms through which demography and technology affect economic growth. Owing to a trade-off between innovation and automation, lower fertility and population ageing lead to reductions in GDP per capita growth and the labour income share. During the demographic transition, the extent growth and factor shares are affected depends on alternative labour market configurations and scenarios for the integration of robots into economic activity.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:moneco:v:117:y:2021:i:c:p:833-847
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24