Crime Watch: Hurricanes and Illegal Activities

C-Tier
Journal: Southern Economic Journal
Year: 2019
Volume: 86
Issue: 1
Pages: 318-338

Authors (2)

Nekeisha Spencer (not in RePEc) Eric Strobl (Universität Bern)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We investigate the relationship between hurricane strikes and crime for Jamaica. To this end, we construct hurricane damages and daily recorded criminal activity. Hurricanes are found to significantly increase crime by 35%, where the impact is stronger for more damaging storms, but this only lasts for the duration of the storm. Decomposing crime into its various subtypes, one finds that while aggravated assault, break‐ins, and shooting increase during a hurricane, murders, rapes, and robberies actually decline. The greatest increase is with shootings, whereas the greatest decline is with rape. Crucially, the impact of crime depends on the existence of a storm warning. Our results also show that high frequency data more accurately estimate the impact of hurricanes on crime.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:soecon:v:86:y:2019:i:1:p:318-338
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29