The long of it: Odds that investor sentiment spuriously predicts anomaly returns

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial Economics
Year: 2014
Volume: 114
Issue: 3
Pages: 613-619

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Extremely long odds accompany the chance that spurious-regression bias accounts for investor sentiment׳s observed role in stock-return anomalies. We replace investor sentiment with a simulated persistent series in regressions reported by Stambaugh, Yu, and Yuan (2012), who find higher long-short anomaly profits following high sentiment, due entirely to the short leg. Among 200 million simulated regressors, we find none that support those conclusions as strongly as investor sentiment. The key is consistency across anomalies. Obtaining just the predicted signs for the regression coefficients across the 11 anomalies examined in the above study occurs only once for every 43 simulated regressors.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jfinec:v:114:y:2014:i:3:p:613-619
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29