Do individuals expect the Phillips curve? Evidence from the European Consumer Expectations Survey

C-Tier
Journal: Economics Letters
Year: 2024
Volume: 234
Issue: C

Authors (2)

Kirpson, Gerda (not in RePEc) Staehr, Karsten (Tallinna Tehnikaülikool)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Are the expectations of individuals in Europe consistent with the Phillips curve? To investigate we run panel data estimations on micro data from the European Consumer Expectations Survey. The estimations reveal a positive relationship between expected inflation and economic slack. This lack of consistency with the Phillips curve holds even when proxies for supply shocks are included.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecolet:v:234:y:2024:i:c:s0165176523004561
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29